Simulate Back to dashboard
Build your own road to glory.
Pick winners and exact scorelines from the group stage to the final, then hit Calculate to watch the bracket re-route and the title odds shift in real time. Real results stay locked — you simulate everything still to play.
Theo gut-check
Built a wild bracket? Ask Theo whether your scenario holds up — and what would have to break for it to happen.
Theo's call
Germany18.2%
Argentina14.6%
Spain12.4%
France11.8%
Netherlands11.5%
Germany18.2%Argentina14.6%Spain12.4%France11.8%Netherlands11.5%Swipe stages
1Pick a result2It re-routes3Calculate odds
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Champion
Argentina
Your simulated winner
Title odds
Monte Carlo over 1,000simulations that honor your pinned results. Deltas compare against Theo's baseline.
- 1
England11.0% - 2
Brazil10.8% - 3Argentina10.4%
- 4Spain9.8%
- 5France9.4%
- 6
Portugal6.3% - 7Netherlands5.6%
- 8
Belgium5.0% - 9Germany3.8%
- 10
Colombia3.6% - 11
USA2.8% - 12
Mexico2.6%
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