Build your own road to glory.

Pick winners and exact scorelines from the group stage to the final, then hit Calculate to watch the bracket re-route and the title odds shift in real time. Real results stay locked — you simulate everything still to play.

Theo gut-check

Built a wild bracket? Ask Theo whether your scenario holds up — and what would have to break for it to happen.

Theo's callGermany flagGermany20.3%Argentina flagArgentina18.2%Netherlands flagNetherlands12.7%France flagFrance11.2%England flagEngland9.7%
1Pick a result2It re-routes3Calculate odds
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Champion
Argentina flag
Argentina

Your simulated winner

Title odds

Monte Carlo over 1,000simulations that honor your pinned results. Deltas compare against Theo's baseline.

  1. 1Argentina flag
    Argentina11.6%
  2. 2England flag
    England10.0%
  3. 3Spain flag
    Spain9.9%
  4. 4Portugal flag
    Portugal8.9%
  5. 5France flag
    France8.6%
  6. 6Brazil flag
    Brazil8.1%
  7. 7Netherlands flag
    Netherlands6.0%
  8. 8Belgium flag
    Belgium5.3%
  9. 9Germany flag
    Germany4.7%
  10. 10Colombia flag
    Colombia4.0%
  11. 11Morocco flag
    Morocco2.9%
  12. 12USA flag
    USA2.7%
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